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Title : NYT columnist Thomas Edsall lists 5 things Biden supporters should worry about.
link : NYT columnist Thomas Edsall lists 5 things Biden supporters should worry about.
NYT columnist Thomas Edsall lists 5 things Biden supporters should worry about.
Here:First, there are indications that Trump’s base of support — whites without college degrees — is more energized and committed to voting this year than key Democratic constituencies. And there is also evidence that polling does not reflect this.I haven't looked at the comments yet, but I will. I predict intense denial, premised on: 1. The polls favor Biden so much!, 2. Everybody knows Trump is horrible!, 3. ???...
Second, Latinos, who are key to the outcome in several crucial states — Arizona and Florida, for example — have shown less support for Biden than for past Democratic nominees. Many Hispanic voters seem resistant to any campaign that defines them broadly as “people of color.”
Third, absentee voting is expected to be higher among Democrats than Republicans, subjecting their ballots to a greater risk of rejection, a fate more common to mailed-in votes than to in-person voting.
Fourth, the generic Democratic-Republican vote (“Would you be more willing to vote for a Republican or Democratic candidate for Congress?”) through early July favored Democrats by more than 10 points, but has since narrowed to 6 points.
Fifth, the debates will test Biden’s ability to withstand three 90-minute battles against an opponent known for brutal personal attacks.
To my surprise, the top-rated comment is about something Edsall barely mentioned: the riots. It's a response to another commenter:
Otto,Let's find Otto's comment. Here:
Thank you for stating your views. I agree that looting and rioting is wrong. With that in mind, I encourage you to examine what the two presidential candidates—the two people at the head of the political tickets—have actually said about the violence that has erupted lately. Biden has made it clear, in no uncertain terms, that rioting and looting, by anyone (Dems included) is wrong. Full stop. Meanwhile, when Trump was asked about the unspeakable violence and murder committed by his supporter, Kyle Rittenhouse, Trump refused to condemn him. To me it is clear which candidate opposes the violence that has erupted lately.
As a Latino (Mexican) male, and apparently one of the increasingly rare conservative Democrats, the Republicans seem more attractive to me this election. What put me over the edge was the way Democrats normalized looting and rioting this year. I have always had a queasy feeling about the Democrats’ turn to radical politics, but this year has pretty much convinced me of what I long suspected: the party has left me. If the Democrats attack the Catholic Supreme Court nominee for her faith, that’s it - I’m gone and never coming back. Good luck winning in competitive states without people like me.On Edsall's failure to include the rioting in his list of things Biden supporters should worry about, I notice that, a couple weeks ago, he had a column titled "Voters Seem to Think Biden Is the ‘Law and Order’ Candidate." What was that based on?! It was speculation based on the fact that the riots did not correspond to a rise in the poll for Trump: "The biggest problem with Trump running on restoring order is that his performance in office has caused many voters to view him as the candidate of disorder." Edsall had a few polls to back up that idea. For example:
A... September 2-4 CBS News survey asked whether Biden and Trump are “trying to calm the situation down” or “trying to encourage fighting.” By 49-30, voters said Biden was trying to calm the situation while, in the case of Trump, voters said he was trying to encourage fighting by 47-39....
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To my surprise, the top-rated comment is about something Edsall barely mentioned: the riots. It's a response to another commenter:
First, there are indications that Trump’s base of support — whites without college degrees — is more energized and committed to voting this year than key Democratic constituencies. And there is also evidence that polling does not reflect this.I haven't looked at the comments yet, but I will. I predict intense denial, premised on: 1. The polls favor Biden so much!, 2. Everybody knows Trump is horrible!, 3. ???...
Second, Latinos, who are key to the outcome in several crucial states — Arizona and Florida, for example — have shown less support for Biden than for past Democratic nominees. Many Hispanic voters seem resistant to any campaign that defines them broadly as “people of color.”
Third, absentee voting is expected to be higher among Democrats than Republicans, subjecting their ballots to a greater risk of rejection, a fate more common to mailed-in votes than to in-person voting.
Fourth, the generic Democratic-Republican vote (“Would you be more willing to vote for a Republican or Democratic candidate for Congress?”) through early July favored Democrats by more than 10 points, but has since narrowed to 6 points.
Fifth, the debates will test Biden’s ability to withstand three 90-minute battles against an opponent known for brutal personal attacks.
To my surprise, the top-rated comment is about something Edsall barely mentioned: the riots. It's a response to another commenter:
Otto,Let's find Otto's comment. Here:
Thank you for stating your views. I agree that looting and rioting is wrong. With that in mind, I encourage you to examine what the two presidential candidates—the two people at the head of the political tickets—have actually said about the violence that has erupted lately. Biden has made it clear, in no uncertain terms, that rioting and looting, by anyone (Dems included) is wrong. Full stop. Meanwhile, when Trump was asked about the unspeakable violence and murder committed by his supporter, Kyle Rittenhouse, Trump refused to condemn him. To me it is clear which candidate opposes the violence that has erupted lately.
As a Latino (Mexican) male, and apparently one of the increasingly rare conservative Democrats, the Republicans seem more attractive to me this election. What put me over the edge was the way Democrats normalized looting and rioting this year. I have always had a queasy feeling about the Democrats’ turn to radical politics, but this year has pretty much convinced me of what I long suspected: the party has left me. If the Democrats attack the Catholic Supreme Court nominee for her faith, that’s it - I’m gone and never coming back. Good luck winning in competitive states without people like me.On Edsall's failure to include the rioting in his list of things Biden supporters should worry about, I notice that, a couple weeks ago, he had a column titled "Voters Seem to Think Biden Is the ‘Law and Order’ Candidate." What was that based on?! It was speculation based on the fact that the riots did not correspond to a rise in the poll for Trump: "The biggest problem with Trump running on restoring order is that his performance in office has caused many voters to view him as the candidate of disorder." Edsall had a few polls to back up that idea. For example:
A... September 2-4 CBS News survey asked whether Biden and Trump are “trying to calm the situation down” or “trying to encourage fighting.” By 49-30, voters said Biden was trying to calm the situation while, in the case of Trump, voters said he was trying to encourage fighting by 47-39....
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