Title : I'm collecting old headlines like "Biden Will Win. Republicans Should Understand Why."
link : I'm collecting old headlines like "Biden Will Win. Republicans Should Understand Why."
I'm collecting old headlines like "Biden Will Win. Republicans Should Understand Why."
That, by Bill Scher, was published at Real Clear Politics the day before Election Day. In the light of the morning after Election Day, let's see how that reads now:Joe Biden is going to win.
I have been wrong before. I will be wrong again. And maybe I’m wrong today. But we do not have any significant data to suggest Donald Trump was ever in a position to win reelection, or that he is closing the campaign with any sort of momentum needed for a come-from-behind victory.
We were patronizingly informed that we need to understand this news from the future. How biased was the information we were fed? The polls? The elite media? We knew they were biased, but they seem to have been far more biased this time around.
Four years ago, we did have such data. In the RealClearPolitics national polling average, Hillary Clinton’s lead shrunk nearly six percentage points between Oct. 18 and Nov. 3, before ticking up a bit at the end....
Were the polls more wrong this time? With so much pressure to get it right after failing last time, the polls were even more wrong, and the commentators leaned into lecturing us about how Trump is toast, rejected forever, by a new America that wasn't going to stomach that nasty Trumpism anymore.
Biden’s lead has been, and is, strong, sturdy and stable. His battleground state advantages are smaller than his national margin, but they are still leads in most states and Trump is not aggressively closing the gaps....
Without forward movement, he can’t get [to 270 electoral votes]. Now, what is the point of making so certain a prediction? Why not allow for the possibility that the polling industry has collectively missed the mark? Why not just wait and see what happens? Because we all should understand that Trump’s defeat has been long in the making, and was starkly visible to the naked eye for months.
Starkly visible to the naked eye for months!
Do not embrace any spin that he could have won if only the pandemic didn’t spike in the last week, if only he stayed on message in the last week, if only his campaign spent its war chest more wisely, if only there was more coverage of the Hunter Biden laptop story, or if only there was more coverage of the third quarter GDP number. I fully expect these excuses and then some, though I expect the claim that Trump would have won if not for the pandemic to be repeated most of all....
Oh, there will be excuses, but not the kind of excuses Bill Sher was "fully expect[ing]."
[Republicans] should accept that Trump lost this race a long time ago because he did not take governing seriously, and because he tried to divide a nation that, in its heart, does not want to be divided.
Yeah, accept it, Republicans. With the tables turned, will Democrats and never-Trumpers accept it? No, the standards of when you must accept electoral outcomes will be completely different if Trump has won.
In turn, for the GOP to remove the stain of Trump from its reputation, Republicans will have to show their seriousness of purpose by working with President Biden on good faith compromises, and by rejecting the corrosive politics of polarization.
We'll see if Democrats set aside their refusal to respect (what looks like) a second victory for Trump and if they will make "good faith compromises, and... reject[] the corrosive politics of polarization." Do they have to show their "seriousness of purpose" or will the advice from pundits like Scher be completely different because the Democrats didn't take over?
Joe Biden is going to win.
I have been wrong before. I will be wrong again. And maybe I’m wrong today. But we do not have any significant data to suggest Donald Trump was ever in a position to win reelection, or that he is closing the campaign with any sort of momentum needed for a come-from-behind victory.
We were patronizingly informed that we need to understand this news from the future. How biased was the information we were fed? The polls? The elite media? We knew they were biased, but they seem to have been far more biased this time around.
Four years ago, we did have such data. In the RealClearPolitics national polling average, Hillary Clinton’s lead shrunk nearly six percentage points between Oct. 18 and Nov. 3, before ticking up a bit at the end....
Were the polls more wrong this time? With so much pressure to get it right after failing last time, the polls were even more wrong, and the commentators leaned into lecturing us about how Trump is toast, rejected forever, by a new America that wasn't going to stomach that nasty Trumpism anymore.
Biden’s lead has been, and is, strong, sturdy and stable. His battleground state advantages are smaller than his national margin, but they are still leads in most states and Trump is not aggressively closing the gaps....
Without forward movement, he can’t get [to 270 electoral votes]. Now, what is the point of making so certain a prediction? Why not allow for the possibility that the polling industry has collectively missed the mark? Why not just wait and see what happens? Because we all should understand that Trump’s defeat has been long in the making, and was starkly visible to the naked eye for months.
Starkly visible to the naked eye for months!
Do not embrace any spin that he could have won if only the pandemic didn’t spike in the last week, if only he stayed on message in the last week, if only his campaign spent its war chest more wisely, if only there was more coverage of the Hunter Biden laptop story, or if only there was more coverage of the third quarter GDP number. I fully expect these excuses and then some, though I expect the claim that Trump would have won if not for the pandemic to be repeated most of all....
Oh, there will be excuses, but not the kind of excuses Bill Sher was "fully expect[ing]."
[Republicans] should accept that Trump lost this race a long time ago because he did not take governing seriously, and because he tried to divide a nation that, in its heart, does not want to be divided.
Yeah, accept it, Republicans. With the tables turned, will Democrats and never-Trumpers accept it? No, the standards of when you must accept electoral outcomes will be completely different if Trump has won.
In turn, for the GOP to remove the stain of Trump from its reputation, Republicans will have to show their seriousness of purpose by working with President Biden on good faith compromises, and by rejecting the corrosive politics of polarization.
We'll see if Democrats set aside their refusal to respect (what looks like) a second victory for Trump and if they will make "good faith compromises, and... reject[] the corrosive politics of polarization." Do they have to show their "seriousness of purpose" or will the advice from pundits like Scher be completely different because the Democrats didn't take over?
Thus articles I'm collecting old headlines like "Biden Will Win. Republicans Should Understand Why."
You now read the article I'm collecting old headlines like "Biden Will Win. Republicans Should Understand Why." with the link address https://welcometoamerican.blogspot.com/2020/11/im-collecting-old-headlines-like-biden.html
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